Now for some deeper Analysis (since its the Super Bowl)
Here's where Vegas is at. And here's the match-up and edge. Sportsline picks here, and Prisco is picking the Colts 31-21 (here). The Colts are about a 6.5 to 7.0 point favorite in Vegas. By contrast, our computer picks the Bears by 3.4 points. Vegas O/U is about 48.0 to 48.5 points. Our computer is a bit lower at 45.3.
At the bottom of the page are a ton of extra stats. And here are past results from all previous Super Bowl's. Our eyeball prediction for a final score is: Indianapolis 24 Chicago 17. First Half: Chicago 17-14. Second Half: Indianapolis 10-0.
Charts -- use Internet Explorer
Season Game-by-game Point Differentials for Super Bowl 41: Bears vs. Colts.
Season Game-by-game Total Points Scored for Super Bowl 41: Bears vs. Colts.
Season Game-by-game First Half Differentials for Super Bowl 41: Bears vs. Colts.
Season Game-by-game Second Half Differentials for Super Bowl 41: Bears vs. Colts.