Picks and Predictions for the NCAA Tournament

Advance NCAA Tournament Game-by-Game Predictions and the Final Four Last update: 3/16/05. Column explanations below. Thank you very much for visiting Fanbay.net. Notes: Our pre-tournament analysis picks North Carolina to win the 2005 NCAA basketball championship. Washington has what it takes to be the Tar Heels Championship opponent. Oklahoma State and Duke round out the Final Four. But take a very close look at all the predictions and you will see that there are a lot of close calls. For example, Kentucky is projected to win by just 0.4 points over Cincy in the 2nd round. Anything could happen there.. Return to main NCAA Hoops Basketball page.  Seed    Team    W    L    TR    RPI    Sag   Dunkel   SOS   Pts/G   OppPts/G   Line   Prediction  1A Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 20 15.29 16A Montana 16 12 169 159 182 176 240 70.79 67.94 Wash. Wash. 8A Pacific 26 3 24 19 27 20 182 73.52 63.16 Pitt Pitt 9A Pittsburgh 20 8 28 48 29 24 93 72.36 62.96 3.5 1.52 5A Ga Tech 19 11 22 35 20 25 17 74.57 66.3 5.5 2.35 12A G. Washing. 22 7 47 64 40 50 156 77.24 66.93 Ga. Tech Ga. Tech 4A Louisville 27 4 9 14 7 9 106 81.18 63.15 11 7.89 13A LA-Lafayette 19 10 59 34 74 72 108 72.57 68.03 L'ville L'ville 6A Texas Tech 20 10 26 36 22 29 36 77.53 69.57 3.5 1.87 11A UCLA 18 10 39 41 51 33 20 74.79 70.62 T. Tech T. Tech 3A Gonzaga 25 4 11 8 21 11 81 79.69 69.79 13.5 9.46 14A Winthrop 24 5 86 68 106 88 296 68.16 58.97 Gonzaga Gonzaga 7A W. Virginia 21 10 32 39 38 28 78 70.23 65.71 2 Creighton 10A Creighton 23 10 43 47 47 45 89 71.52 64.97 West V. 0.67 2A Wake Forest 26 5 5 6 4 3 10 84.71 73.42 17.5 10.65 15A Chattanooga 17 10 133 124 144 141 229 74.15 65.36 Wake F. Wake F. 1C Illinois 32 1 1 2 1 1 60 77.42 60.12 26.5 14.08 16C Fair. Dickin. 19 12 185 160 202 194 303 74.28 70.09 Illinois Illinois 8C Texas 19 10 31 46 25 34 33 77.57 68.77 1 4.62 9C Nevada 23 6 36 33 41 44 139 70.17 61.53 Texas Texas 5C Alabama 23 7 18 12 16 18 41 75.9 64.52 4.5 Wis-Mil 12C Wisc-Milw 23 5 45 56 36 43 176 74.86 63.24 Alabama 3.89 4C Boston Coll. 24 4 14 11 18 16 61 71.76 63.66 6 4.55 13C Penn 20 8 62 42 69 83 179 68.46 60.82 Bost. C. Bost. C. 6C LSU 20 9 27 25 30 30 32 75.48 71.03 2.5 0.79 11C UAB 21 10 55 58 46 57 100 77.81 71.55 LSU LSU 3C Arizona 27 6 10 9 12 7 23 79.67 69.55 5 5.34 14C Utah St. 24 7 46 60 43 56 232 72.97 57.48 Arizona Arizona 7C SIU 25 7 25 15 31 27 49 67.36 60.06 2.5 1.26 10C St. Mary's 23 8 37 28 55 41 105 70.21 64.03 SIU SIU 2C Okla St. 23 6 6 7 6 12 6 78.57 64.83 18.5 14.47 15C SE LA 19 8 128 117 138 143 288 63.59 55.59 Okla. St. Okla. St.  space                                            1S North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a 17.65 16S Oakland 12 18 189 203 185 184 130 70.73 72.9 n/a N. Car. 8S Minnesota 21 10 34 44 37 32 51 68.45 62.84 1 Iowa St. 9S Iowa St. 18 11 56 76 50 40 42 68.38 64.14 Minn. 0.58 5S Villanova 22 7 20 17 17 19 44 73.76 62.66 5 3.69 12S New Mexico 25 6 48 89 39 36 215 76.41 64.56 V'nova V'nova 4S Florida 23 7 16 26 14 22 62 76.87 62.73 11 7.28 13S Ohio 21 10 58 45 79 74 127 71.81 67.97 Florida Florida 6S Wisconsin 22 8 19 18 19 21 16 67.17 59.63 7 0.75 11S N. Iowa 20 10 42 38 44 49 70 72.87 66.77 Wisc. Wisc. 3S Kansas 23 6 7 1 9 8 1 76.39 65.13 13.5 12.51 14S Bucknell 22 9 88 51 112 107 241 63.58 58.45 Kansas Kansas 7S Charlotte 21 7 35 32 45 39 103 80.03 71.57 NC St. NC St. 10S NC State 19 13 41 71 28 31 27 73.84 66.38 4 0.10 2S Uconn 22 7 13 16 13 13 35 78.62 66.76 18 13.12 15S C. Florida 22 8 130 86 169 151 309 69.78 64.84 Uconn Uconn 1T Duke 25 5 3 5 3 4 4 80.65 65.48 26 19.21 16T Dela. St. 19 13 167 116 210 196 289 62.41 61.84 Duke Duke 8T Stanford 18 12 38 40 49 35 13 70.1 68.03 Miss. St. Miss. St. 9T Miss. St. 22 10 29 31 33 38 53 72.44 66 1.5 1.34 5T Mich. St. 22 6 15 23 11 14 74 78.07 63.36 9 7.02 12T Old Domin. 27 5 40 27 52 51 236 71.5 59.5 Mich. St. Mich. St. 4T Syracuse 27 6 17 22 15 15 80 75.48 64.76 9 3.14 13T Vermont 24 6 33 21 42 54 192 73.65 62.06 Syracuse Syracuse 6T Utah 25 5 21 20 24 17 135 68.75 57.22 2.5 0.35 11T UTEP 25 7 49 37 53 55 180 75.35 65.24 Utah Utah 3T Oklahoma 24 7 12 13 10 10 31 75.42 63.03 12 6.53 14T Niagara 20 9 112 82 128 133 259 85.17 78.17 Oklahoma Oklahoma 7T Cincinnati 24 7 23 24 23 23 86 76.42 64.42 3 1.41 10T Iowa 21 11 30 50 26 26 24 73.58 67.33 Cincy Cincy 2T Kentucky 25 5 8 10 8 5 48 73.73 61.9 16 9.57 15T E. Kentucky 19 8 129 103 145 135 279 73.07 66.87 Kentucky Kentucky                                              1A Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 n/a 7 9A Pittsburgh 20 8 28 48 29 24 93 72.36 62.96 n/a Wash 5A Georgia Tech 19 11 22 35 20 25 17 74.57 66.3 n/a 3.25 4A Louisville 27 4 9 14 7 9 106 81.18 63.15 n/a L'Ville 6A Texas Tech 20 10 26 36 22 29 36 77.53 69.57 n/a 0.33 3A Gonzaga 25 4 11 8 21 11 81 79.69 69.79 n/a Gonzaga 10A Creighton 23 10 43 47 47 45 89 71.52 64.97 n/a 7.53 2A Wake Forest 26 5 5 6 4 3 10 84.71 73.42 n/a Wake F.                                              1C Illinois 32 1 1 2 1 1 60 77.42 60.12 n/a 2.85 8C Texas 19 10 31 46 25 34 33 77.57 68.77 n/a Illinois 12C UW-Milwaukee 23 5 45 56 36 43 176 74.86 63.24 n/a 1.17 4C Boston College 24 4 14 11 18 16 61 71.76 63.66 n/a Bos. Coll. 6C LSU 20 9 27 25 30 30 32 75.48 71.03 n/a 3.61 3C Arizona 27 6 10 9 12 7 23 79.67 69.55 n/a Arizona 7C Southern Illinois 25 7 25 15 31 27 49 67.36 60.06 n/a 6.52 2C Oklahoma St. 23 6 6 7 6 12 6 78.57 64.83 n/a Okla St.                                              1S North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a 11.98 9S Iowa St. 18 11 56 76 50 40 42 68.38 64.14 n/a N. Car. 5S Villanova 22 7 20 17 17 19 44 73.76 62.66 n/a 1.51 4S Florida 23 7 16 26 14 22 62 76.87 62.73 n/a Florida 6S Wisconsin 22 8 19 18 19 21 16 67.17 59.63 n/a 4.23 3S Kansas 23 6 7 1 9 8 1 76.39 65.13 n/a Kansas 10S North Carolina St. 19 13 41 71 28 31 27 73.84 66.38 n/a 2.99 2S Connecticut 22 7 13 16 13 13 35 78.62 66.76 n/a Uconn                                              1T Duke 25 5 3 5 3 4 4 80.65 65.48 n/a 6.87 9T Mississippi St. 22 10 29 31 33 38 53 72.44 66 n/a Duke 5T Michigan St. 22 6 15 23 11 14 74 78.07 63.36 n/a 2.32 4T Syracuse 27 6 17 22 15 15 80 75.48 64.76 n/a Mich. St. 6T Utah 25 5 21 20 24 17 135 68.75 57.22 n/a 4.7 3T Oklahoma 24 7 12 13 10 10 31 75.42 63.03 n/a Okla. 7T Cincinnati 24 7 23 24 23 23 86 76.42 64.42 n/a 0.4 2T Kentucky 25 5 8 10 8 5 48 73.73 61.9 n/a Kentucky                                              1 Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 n/a 1.65 4 Louisville 27 4 9 14 7 9 106 81.18 63.15 n/a Wash. 3 Gonzaga 25 4 11 8 21 11 81 79.69 69.79 n/a 3.63 2 Wake Forest 26 5 5 6 4 3 10 84.71 73.42 n/a Wake F. 1 Illinois 32 1 1 2 1 1 60 77.42 60.12 n/a 5.05 4 Boston College 24 4 14 11 18 16 61 71.76 63.66 n/a Illinois 3 Arizona 27 6 10 9 12 7 23 79.67 69.55 n/a 1.55 2 Oklahoma St. 23 6 6 7 6 12 6 78.57 64.83 n/a Okla. St. 1 North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a 6.15 4 Florida 23 7 16 26 14 22 62 76.87 62.73 n/a N. Car. 3 Kansas 23 6 7 1 9 8 1 76.39 65.13 n/a 0.14 2 Connecticut 22 7 13 16 13 13 35 78.62 66.76 n/a Kansas 1 Duke 25 5 3 5 3 4 4 80.65 65.48 n/a 2.71 5 Michigan St. 22 6 15 23 11 14 74 78.07 63.36 n/a Duke 3 Oklahoma 24 7 12 13 10 10 31 75.42 63.03 n/a 1 2 Kentucky 25 5 8 10 8 5 48 73.73 61.9 n/a Okla.                                              1 Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 n/a 0.84 2 Wake Forest 26 5 5 6 4 3 10 84.71 73.42 n/a Wash. 1 Illinois 32 1 1 2 1 1 60 77.42 60.12 n/a 0.23 2 Oklahoma St. 23 6 6 7 6 12 6 78.57 64.83 n/a Okla. St. 1 North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a 5.71 3 Kansas 23 6 7 1 9 8 1 76.39 65.13 n/a N. Car. 1 Duke 25 5 3 5 3 4 4 80.65 65.48 n/a 3.13 3 Oklahoma 24 7 12 13 10 10 31 75.42 63.03 n/a Duke                                              1 Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 n/a 1.37 2 Oklahoma St. 23 6 6 7 6 12 6 78.57 64.83 n/a Wash. 1 North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a 3.2 1 Duke 25 5 3 5 3 4 4 80.65 65.48 n/a N. Car.                                              1 Washington 26 5 4 4 5 6 18 86.31 73.34 n/a 2.97 1 North Carolina 27 4 2 3 2 2 8 88.77 70.26 n/a N. Car. *Stats Explanations TR= Fanbay.net Total Ranking- Combined ranking using the RPI, Sagarin, and Green. RPI= RPI Rank- RPI is basically the gold standard for the NCAA Selections Committee. The number in the column is the RPI ranking for the team and not the actual RPI number. Here are the actual RPI ratings Sag= Sagarin Rank. Click here for the Sagarin ratings. The number listed in the column above is the teams rank in the list. Green= Greenfield Rank SOS= Strength of Schedule Ranking according to Sagarin ratings. Pts/G= Points scored per game OppPts/G= Opponents points per game, or points given up per game Line= Odds according to Vegas Prediction= Our Prediction using our computer model.